2007/2008 Report
The latest global Report on the theme of climate change has been launched on 27 November 2007.
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Each year since 1990 the Human Development Report has published the human development index (HDI) which looks beyond GDP to a broader definition of well-being. The HDI provides a composite measure of three dimensions of human development: living a long and healthy life (measured by life expectancy), being educated (measured by adult literacy and enrolment at the primary, secondary and tertiary level) and having a decent standard of living (measured by purchasing power parity, PPP, income). The index is not in any sense a comprehensive measure of human development. It does not, for example, include important indicators such as gender or income inequality and more difficult to measure indicators like respect for human rights and political freedoms. What it does provide is a broadened prism for viewing human progress and the complex relationship between income and well-being.
The HDI for Timor-Leste is 0.514, which gives the country a rank of 150th out of 177 countries with data (Table 1).
| Table 1: Timor-Leste’s human development index 2005 | ||||
| HDI value | Life expectancy at birth (years) | Adult literacy rate (% ages 15 and older) | Combined primary, secondary and tertiary gross enrolment ratio (%) | |
| 1. Iceland (0.968) | 1. Japan (82.3) | 1. Georgia (100.0) | 1. Australia (113.0) | |
| 148. Kenya (0.521) | 133. Yemen (61.5) | 121. Morocco (52.3) | 91. Iran (Islamic Republic of) (72.8) | |
| 149. Djibouti (0.516) | 134. Myanmar (60.8) | 122. Mauritania (51.2) | 92. Gabon (72.4) | |
| 150. Timor-Leste (0.514) | 135. Timor-Leste (59.7) | 123. Timor-Leste (50.1) | 93. Timor-Leste (72.0) | |
| 151. Zimbabwe (0.513) | 136. Haiti (59.5) | 124. Pakistan (49.9) | 94. Thailand (71.2) | |
| 152. Togo (0.512) | 137. Ghana (59.1) | 125. Côte d'Ivoire (48.7) | 95. Honduras (71.2) | |
| 177. Sierra Leone (0.336) | 177. Zambia (40.5) | 139. Burkina Faso (23.6) | 172. Niger (22.7) | |
The HDI measures the average progress of a country in human development. The Human Poverty Index for developing countries (HPI-1), focuses on the proportion of people below a threshold level in the same dimensions of human development as the human development index - living a long and healthy life, having access to education, and a decent standard of living. By looking beyond income deprivation, the HPI-1 represents a multi-dimensional alternative to the $1 a day (PPP US$) poverty measure.
The HPI-1 value of 41.8 for Timor-Leste, ranks 95th among 108 developing countries for which the index has been calculated.
The HPI-1 measures severe deprivation in health by the proportion of people who are not expected to survive age 40. Education is measured by the adult illiteracy rate. And a decent standard of living is measured by the unweighted average of people without access to an improved water source and the proportion of children under age 5 who are underweight for their age. Table 2 shows the values for these variables for Timor-Leste and compares them to other countries.
| Table 2: Selected indicators of human poverty for Timor-Leste | ||||
| Human Poverty Index (HPI-1) 2004 | Probability of not surviving past age 40 (%) 2004 | Adult illiteracy rate (%ages 15 and older) 2004 | People without access to an improved water source (%) 2004 | Children underweight for age (% ages 0-5) 2004 |
| 1. Chad (56.9) | 1. Zimbabwe (57.4) | 1. Burkina Faso (76.4) | 1. Ethiopia (78) | 1. Nepal (48) |
| 12. Senegal (42.9) | 39. Ghana (23.8) | 15. Côte d'Ivoire (51.3) | 19. Romania (43) | 3. India (47) |
| 13. Zambia (41.8) | 40. Haiti (21.4) | 16. Pakistan (50.1) | 20. Sierra Leone (43) | 4. Yemen (46) |
| 14. Timor-Leste (41.8) | 41. Timor-Leste (21.2) | 17. Timor-Leste (49.9) | 21. Timor-Leste (42) | 5. Timor-Leste (46) |
| 15. Gambia (40.9) | 42. Myanmar (21.0) | 18. Mauritania (48.8) | 22. Zambia (42) | 6. Burundi (45) |
| 16. Bangladesh (40.5) | 43. Gambia (20.9) | 19. Morocco (47.7) | 23. Congo (42) | 7. Cambodia (45) |
| 108. Barbados (3.0) | 173. Iceland (1.4) | 164. Estonia (0.2) | 125. Hungary (1) | 134. Chile (1) |
As a result of past emissions of carbon dioxide (CO2) and other greenhouse gases (GHGs), the world is now on course for future climate change. This year’s Human Development Report identifies 2ºC as the threshold above which irreversible and dangerous climate change will become unavoidable. It also explains why we have less than a decade to change course and start living within a sustainable global carbon budget identified at 14.5 gigatonnes of CO2 (Gt CO2) per annum for the remainder of the 21st Century. Currently, emissions are running at twice this level. If these trends continue, the carbon budget will be set for expiry during the 2030's, setting in motion processes that can lead to temperature increases of 5ºC or above by the end of this century---roughly similar to temperature changes since the last ice age 10,000 years ago.
With 0.0% of the world's population, Timor-Leste accounts for 0.0% of global emissions - an average of 0.2 tonnes of CO2 per person.
High-income OECD countries meanwhile lead the league of "CO2 transgressors". With just 15% of the world’s population, they account for almost half of all emissions. If the entire world emitted like High-income OECD countries -an average of 13.2 tonnes of CO2 per person, we would be emitting 6 times our sustainable carbon budget.
Timor-Leste has signed and ratified the Kyoto Protocol. As a non-Annex I Party to the Protocol, Timor-Leste is not bound by specific targets for greenhouse gas emissions.
| Table 3: Carbon dioxide emissions | ||||||||
| Total emissions (MtCO2) | CO2 emissions share of world total (%) | Population share (%) | CO2 emissions per capita (tCO2) | |||||
| CO2 emitters | 1990 | 2004 | 1990-2004 | 1990 | 2004 | 2004 | 1990 | 2004 |
| United States | 4,818.3 | 6,045.8 | 1.8 | 21.2 | 20.9 | 4.6 | 19.3 | 20.6 |
| China | 2,398.9 | 5,007.1 | 7.8 | 10.6 | 17.3 | 20.2 | 2.1 | 3.8 |
| Russian Federation | 1,984.1 | 1,524.1 | -1.9 | 8.8 | 5.3 | 2.2 | 13.4 | 10.6 |
| Korea (Republic of) | 241.2 | 465.4 | 6.6 | 1.1 | 1.6 | 0.7 | 5.6 | 9.7 |
| Indonesia | 213.8 | 378.0 | 5.5 | 0.9 | 1.3 | 3.5 | 1.2 | 1.7 |
| Singapore | 45.1 | 52.2 | 1.1 | 0.2 | 0.2 | 0.1 | 14.9 | 12.3 |
| Myanmar | 4.3 | 9.8 | 9.2 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.7 | 0.1 | 0.2 |
| Brunei Darussalam | 5.8 | 8.8 | 3.7 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 23.0 | 24.0 |
| Cambodia | 0.5 | 0.5 | 1.3 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.2 | 0.0 | 0.0 |
| Timor-Leste | - | 0.2 | - | - | 0.0 | 0.0 | - | 0.2 |
| Global aggregates | ||||||||
| High-income OECD | 10,055.4 | 12,137.5 | 1.5 | 44.3 | 41.9 | 14.3 | 12.0 | 13.2 |
| Medium human development | 5,944.4 | 10,215.2 | 5.1 | 26.2 | 35.2 | 65.1 | 1.8 | 2.5 |
| World | 22,702.5 | 28,982.7 | 2.0 | 100.0 | 100.0 | 100.0 | 4.3 | 4.5 |